2026 W. Cup Group D Match Preview - United States vs. Turkey: Can the Stars and Stripes outshine Ay-Yıldızlılar? June 25, 2026 by Marc Jerbs

The group stage of the 2026 W. Cup reaches a thrilling climax in Group D as the United States national team prepares to face Türkiye at the iconic Los Angeles Stadium on Thursday, June 25, at 10PM ET.

The stakes could not be more polarized for this final group stage match. The Stars and Stripes enter the stadium sitting comfortably at the top of Group D with a perfect 6 points from their opening two matches, already securing their advancement. Ay-Yıldızlılar (The Crescent-Stars), conversely, finds themselves anchored to the bottom of the table with 0 points after consecutive defeats, desperately needing a massive victory and favorable math elsewhere to keep any mathematical hope alive.

Current Form

United States
The Stars and Stripes have enjoyed a flawless start to their home tournament under Mauricio Pochettino. Demonstrating tactically disciplined soccer and clinical finishing, the US has accumulated 6 goals while conceding just once across their first two games. The team is playing with high energy, utilizing their home-field advantage effectively to control tempo and dictate play.

Turkey
Vincenzo Montella’s squad has endured a frustrating and difficult campaign in Group D. Despite boasting immense young talent, the Crescent-Stars have yet to find the back of the net in this tournament, carrying a 0–3 goal deficit over their two losses. They have struggled to convert creative buildup into tangible goal-scoring opportunities and face massive pressure to break their scoreless drought.

Injury Reports

United States:
The US roster is in relatively healthy shape, though captain Tyler Adams and veteran defender Tim Ream have been managed carefully to avoid fatigue. With qualification to the knockout rounds already secured, expect Pochettino to utilize his squad depth and rest a few key players carrying minor knocks or yellow cards.
Turkey:
Türkiye remains mostly unhampered by major injuries, meaning Montella will have his preferred core available. Rising star Arda Güler and winger Kerem Aktürkoğlu are expected to lead the attacking lines from the start as the team throws everything forward.

Historical Matchups

While competitive fixtures between these two nations are rare, their most notable recent encounter occurred during an international friendly on 8 June 2025. In that closely contested match, Türkiye edge past the United States with a 2–1 victory. Early fireworks saw Jack McGlynn open the scoring for the US in the 1st minute, but brilliant responses from Arda Güler (24') and Kerem Aktürkoğlu (27') ultimately secured the win for the visitors. Türkiye will look to replicate that tactical success, while the US aims to rewrite the script on the grandest stage.

USA vs Turkey Sports Bet Odds

Money Line – Turkey (+260), US (-113)
Total (2.5) – Over (-135), Under (+119)
Spread – Turkey -0.5 (-113), US +0.5 (-103)

Final Thoughts

The United States enters this match as the heavy favorite due to their superb current form and roaring home crowd support in Los Angeles. However, motivation will play a massive factor. Because the US has already qualified, a heavily rotated lineup could give Türkiye a tactical opening. Türkiye has their backs against the wall and must play with high-intensity, attacking desperation. If Güler and Aktürkoğlu can find their rhythm early and break their tournament scoring drought, Türkiye has the quality to pull off an upset-much like they did in 2025. Expect a high-octane affair under the Southern California lights.